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Red117
131840.9
357431.6
580332.2
Blue85
448846.6
151022.3
204637.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879660708010011012013011785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.4
32.734.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.3
End4.6
blue by 5.7
46.60.4
41.841.4
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
Second
5803
#10
32.21.4
25.426.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
blue by 4.8
37.00.4
31.130.7
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Third
31.61.4
27.829.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 9.4
1510
#18
22.30.4
18.618.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed