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Red48
381223.6
412715.5
281125.5
Blue97
255027.7
290727.1
302423.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567820401001204897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#15
25.50.7
21.520.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 2.3
2550
#19
27.71.6
25.627.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Second
3812
#13
23.60.7
22.521.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 3.6
2907
#20
27.11.0
29.130.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Third
4127
#29
15.50.7
14.113.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.6
blue by 7.6
3024
#22
23.11.6
17.719.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed