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Red45
319212.0
95529.0
363615.3
Blue63
519816.6
299031.5
313111.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52680204060801004563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#17
29.00.5
28.027.5
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End3.0
blue by 2.5
31.50.0
26.926.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
3636
#26
15.30.9
14.413.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 1.3
5198
#12
16.60.0
16.116.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
3192
#28
12.00.5
10.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 0.1
3131
#30DQ
11.90.0
20.320.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed