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Red15
48824.6
323710.5
322315.6
Blue90
204632.3
260519.3
321921.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546502040801001201590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#21
24.63.7
26.823.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.5
End3.7
blue by 7.7
32.32.8
27.830.6
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
Second
3223
#29
15.63.7
14.510.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 6.0
3219
#23
21.62.8
17.920.7
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Third
3237
#28
10.53.7
12.48.7
Auto1.0
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 8.7
2605
#26
19.32.8
15.718.4
Auto9.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed