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Red40
339331.1
292917.4
321816.0
Blue79
446113.8
445031.6
255726.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696102040801001204079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#13
31.12.5
31.428.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.8
End4.3
blue by 0.4
31.61.3
26.227.4
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End2.1
Second
2929
#30
17.42.5
18.916.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 9.2
26.71.3
23.725.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End4.9
Third
3218
#31
16.02.5
15.613.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 2.2
4461
#27
13.81.3
10.812.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed