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Red70
593913.4
290625.4
580322.6
Blue75
491816.3
36024.5
378122.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59542040801007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2906
#17
25.41.3
21.322.6
Auto2.7
Teleop17.8
End4.9
red by 0.9
360
#33
24.52.1
22.724.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End1.8
Second
5803
#24
22.61.3
21.022.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
blue by 0.4
3781
#16
22.92.1
18.020.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Third
5939
#39
13.41.3
14.215.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 2.9
4918
#36
16.32.1
12.314.4
Auto1.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed