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Red50
580332.2
381223.6
95529.0
Blue87
508528.1
204637.0
241115.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81772040601001201401605087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#10
32.21.9
26.824.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
blue by 4.8
37.00.1
31.831.9
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Second
955
#17
29.01.9
28.226.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 0.9
28.10.1
28.028.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Third
3812
#13
23.61.9
22.921.1
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 8.4
2411
#25
15.20.2
15.615.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed