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Red58
519816.6
290727.1
252124.7
Blue88
255027.7
84725.2
357431.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67864060801001205888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#20
27.10.6
30.429.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 4.5
31.60.5
29.930.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Second
2521
#23
24.70.6
20.319.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 3.1
2550
#19
27.70.8
26.627.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Third
5198
#12
16.60.6
17.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 8.6
847
#8
25.20.5
24.124.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed