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Red121
131842.1
198342.2
36049.5
Blue101
366344.5
204638.3
290731.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841470100300400500600121101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#27
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 4.9
3663
#20
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Second
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 3.9
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 10.4
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6