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Red101
593722.6
204638.2
142542.3
Blue51
304915.2
292715.8
568319.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1163605010015020010151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.0
41.541.5
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End12.8
red by 22.8
5683
#32
19.50.3
17.417.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Second
38.20.0
36.736.7
Auto15.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 22.5
2927
#29
15.80.3
17.918.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Third
5937
#22
22.60.0
22.922.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 7.4
3049
#28
15.20.3
11.311.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed