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Red82
32378.6
358833.8
413129.2
Blue102
368429.8
446941.3
322118.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6468408010082102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#15
33.81.3
26.427.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
blue by 7.6
41.32.4
31.934.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.7
End4.8
Second
29.21.3
28.529.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.3
End5.0
blue by 0.6
3684
#10
29.82.4
20.522.9
Auto7.2
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Third
3237
#34
8.61.3
7.58.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.5
blue by 9.3
3221
#30
18.02.4
12.815.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed