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Red116
357436.2
302438.0
204641.1
Blue89
406136.3
597030.2
293031.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114955015020011689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#27
41.10.2
37.537.7
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End5.8
red by 4.8
4061
#25
36.30.4
39.739.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
3024
#30
38.00.2
34.034.1
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
red by 6.7
2930
#33
31.20.4
32.832.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
3574
#12
36.20.2
36.837.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 6.0
5970
#48
30.20.4
23.022.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed