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Red81
302423.1
319212.0
204637.0
Blue57
241115.2
313111.9
99726.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6262405070808157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.4
31.933.3
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 10.5
997
#16
26.51.2
28.427.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Second
3024
#22
23.12.3
20.823.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 7.9
2411
#25
15.22.0
15.813.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Third
3192
#28
12.01.4
8.09.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 0.1
3131
#30DQ
11.92.0
15.613.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed