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Red133
132343.0
68639.1
34645.3
Blue99
176932.3
554636.7
580128.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127835010015020013399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.30.4
38.839.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 8.6
5546
#19
36.70.1
35.335.5
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
Second
1323
#25
43.00.4
39.940.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
red by 10.8
1769
#55
32.30.2
26.927.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Third
686
#13
39.10.4
38.038.4
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 10.9
5801
#57
28.20.2
24.524.7
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed