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Red114
7043.7
153845.3
599625.1
Blue87
42229.0
615333.4
360443.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161135010015020011487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#21
45.30.5
45.144.6
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
red by 1.9
3604
#53
43.41.5
42.440.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
Second
70
#28
43.70.5
46.245.7
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
red by 10.3
6153
#33
33.41.5
33.031.5
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Third
5996
#24
25.10.8
20.719.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
blue by 3.9
422
#60
29.01.5
34.533.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed58%Capture oddsMissed