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Red116
421636.1
142546.0
171232.2
Blue94
525446.6
240525.3
168440.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011905015020025030011694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.5
42.142.6
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End12.6
blue by 0.5
5254
#46
46.61.3
48.246.8
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
Second
4216
#41
36.10.5
36.837.3
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
blue by 4.6
1684
#36
40.71.3
38.437.0
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
32.20.5
29.229.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 6.9
2405
#63
25.31.3
27.526.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
90%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsMissed