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Red136
516635.1
168440.7
171232.2
Blue102
132343.0
339723.0
360443.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108116406080100140160180136102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#36
40.71.7
37.539.2
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
blue by 2.7
3604
#53
43.40.6
44.744.1
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
Second
5166
#39
35.11.7
35.136.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
blue by 8.0
1323
#25
43.00.6
43.142.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
Third
32.21.7
33.234.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 9.1
3397
#75
23.00.6
23.623.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed