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Red82
607016.2
19337.5
326034.9
Blue92
23133.7
615333.4
496747.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87125501001508292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#45
37.50.5
38.437.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
blue by 9.7
4967
#14
47.21.6
47.746.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
3260
#65
34.90.5
34.734.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 1.2
231
#10
33.71.6
34.232.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Third
6070
#64
16.20.5
16.616.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 17.2
6153
#33
33.41.6
34.232.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed