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Red100
437738.0
523226.2
332431.0
Blue126
301926.5
97167.2
425633.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9114050100150200100126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#38
38.00.0
39.139.1
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End9.7
blue by 29.2
971
#4
67.20.5
66.866.3
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
3324
#70
31.00.0
29.629.6
Auto10.1
Teleop18.0
End2.9
blue by 2.0
4256
#22
33.00.5
33.633.1
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
Third
5232
#56
26.20.0
26.626.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 0.3
3019
#66
26.50.5
28.427.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsEarned