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Red142
42229.0
554636.7
14867.1
Blue122
525446.6
121831.9
173043.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421216080100160180200220142122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
67.10.2
66.666.4
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
red by 20.5
5254
#46
46.60.1
46.046.0
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
Second
5546
#19
36.70.2
38.938.7
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
blue by 7.1
1730
#51
43.80.1
41.441.4
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Third
422
#60
29.00.2
29.128.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End4.0
blue by 3.0
1218
#62
31.90.1
33.633.6
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
82%Capture oddsEarned56%Capture oddsMissed