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Red102
581134.1
243838.9
364614.7
Blue112
408535.4
176932.3
101137.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78112050100150200102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#50
38.91.4
33.234.7
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
red by 1.6
1011
#43
37.30.5
38.438.9
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Second
5811
#48
34.11.4
34.936.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
blue by 1.3
4085
#20
35.40.5
35.536.1
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Third
3646
#74
14.71.4
12.513.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
blue by 17.6
1769
#55
32.30.5
29.930.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed