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Qual 992016 Hopper Division
Red129
86947.4
273327.7
30337.3
Blue104
12332.4
584729.6
299035.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159320406080140160180129104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#40
47.40.7
48.2→48.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 11.7
2990
#35
35.70.7
34.7→35.4
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Second
303
#6
37.30.7
35.8→36.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
red by 4.9
123
#18
32.40.7
31.7→32.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
Third
2733
#29
27.70.7
24.6→25.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
blue by 1.9
5847
#73
29.60.7
27.3→28.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
56%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsEarned