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Qual 982016 Hopper Division
Red121
561835.3
167865.8
388029.3
Blue112
168440.7
247140.3
153845.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131131115120125135140121112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#3
65.81.1
61.3→60.2
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
red by 20.6
1538
#21
45.31.0
47.0→46.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
Second
5618
#15
35.31.1
35.2→34.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
blue by 5.4
1684
#36
40.71.0
38.6→37.5
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
3880
#34
29.31.1
30.9→29.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 11.0
2471
#44
40.31.0
41.8→40.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
59%Capture oddsEarned54%Capture oddsMissed