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Qual 972016 Hopper Division
Red104
81230.8
433458.2
580128.2
Blue107
173645.7
173231.9
326034.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711680100140160104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
58.21.3
54.5→53.2
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
red by 12.5
1736
#12
45.70.7
46.5→45.8
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Second
812
#71DQ
30.81.3
33.0→31.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.6
End3.7
blue by 4.1
3260
#65
34.90.7
35.4→34.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
5801
#57
28.21.3
26.3→24.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
blue by 3.7
1732
#59
31.90.7
30.7→29.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsMissed