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Red105
68639.1
523226.2
599625.1
Blue105
179635.1
19337.5
509829.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90107050150200105105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#13
39.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 1.5
193
#45
37.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
5232
#56
26.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 8.9
1796
#27
35.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Third
5996
#24
25.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
blue by 4.4
5098
#37
29.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed