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Qual 952016 Hopper Division
Red139
615333.4
36439.0
421636.1
Blue124
360443.4
341430.7
155933.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071136080100120140160139124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#42
39.01.6
37.5→39.1
Auto8.1
Teleop21.5
End9.4
blue by 4.4
3604
#53
43.41.0
43.7→44.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.1
End12.9
Second
4216
#41
36.11.6
34.8→36.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
red by 2.1
1559
#47
33.91.0
34.5→35.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Third
6153
#33
33.41.6
32.6→34.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
red by 2.7
3414
#61
30.71.0
30.9→31.9
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsEarned