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Red93
299035.7
388029.3
179635.1
Blue85
36439.0
7043.7
581134.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99127501502009385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#35
35.71.2
35.434.3
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 8.0
70
#28
43.72.3
44.241.9
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Second
1796
#27
35.11.2
35.334.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0
blue by 3.9
364
#42
39.02.3
39.136.8
Auto8.1
Teleop21.5
End9.4
Third
3880
#34
29.31.2
29.828.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 4.8
5811
#48
34.12.3
36.434.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed