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Red102
173231.9
201345.2
77120.9
Blue91
509829.5
176932.3
584729.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99872040608012014016010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#17
45.20.2
45.245.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 12.9
1769
#55
32.30.0
30.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Second
1732
#59
31.90.2
29.929.8
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
red by 2.3
5847
#73
29.60.0
28.028.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End5.5
Third
771
#49
20.90.2
19.319.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 8.5
5098
#37
29.50.0
27.827.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed