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Red119
421636.1
29447.6
12332.4
Blue200
433458.2
167865.8
243838.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10916050200250119200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
47.60.4
44.745.1
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
blue by 18.3
65.82.8
60.263.0
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
Second
4216
#41
36.10.4
36.436.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
blue by 22.1
58.22.8
53.256.0
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
Third
123
#18
32.40.4
32.432.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
blue by 6.5
2438
#50
38.92.8
34.737.5
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsEarned60%Capture oddsEarned