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Red135
408535.4
458748.6
543134.3
Blue69
155933.9
599625.1
240525.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123825010015020013569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
48.60.4
44.344.7
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 14.7
1559
#47
33.91.5
35.534.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Second
4085
#20
35.40.4
36.136.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 10.1
2405
#63
25.31.5
25.123.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Third
5431
#16
34.30.4
33.133.5
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
red by 9.2
5996
#24
25.11.5
25.223.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed