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Red91
516635.1
121831.9
424134.2
Blue120
580527.4
326034.9
388029.3
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113885010015020091120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#39
35.11.7
36.835.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
red by 0.2
3260
#65
34.90.7
34.234.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
4241
#32
34.21.7
35.934.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
red by 4.9
3880
#34
29.30.7
28.629.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Third
1218
#62
31.91.7
33.631.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
red by 4.6
5805
#54
27.40.7
26.727.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed