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Red95
86947.4
341430.7
81230.8
Blue113
364614.7
433458.2
599625.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219105015020095113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#40
47.41.2
49.348.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
blue by 10.8
58.21.3
56.057.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
Second
812
#71
30.81.2
32.030.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.6
End3.7
red by 5.7
5996
#24
25.11.3
23.725.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
Third
3414
#61
30.71.2
31.930.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 16.0
3646
#74
14.71.3
13.314.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned