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Qual 1202016 Hopper Division
Red162
173043.8
458748.6
580128.2
Blue89
454723.1
421636.1
17238.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171005015020016289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
48.63.0
44.7→47.8
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 10.0
172
#30
38.60.7
39.4→38.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Second
1730
#51
43.83.0
41.4→44.5
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 7.7
4216
#41
36.10.7
36.8→36.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
Third
5801
#57
28.23.0
25.1→28.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 5.0
4547
#68
23.10.7
23.9→23.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned27%Capture oddsMissed