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Qual 1212016 Hopper Division
Red121
240525.3
29447.6
584729.6
Blue103
19337.5
301926.5
173645.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612020406080140160180121103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
47.61.6
45.1→46.7
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 1.9
1736
#12
45.71.3
47.0→45.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Second
5847
#73
29.61.6
28.0→29.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End5.5
blue by 7.9
193
#45
37.51.3
37.9→36.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Third
2405
#63
25.31.6
23.7→25.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
blue by 1.2
3019
#66
26.51.3
27.9→26.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed65%Capture oddsMissed