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Red88
408535.4
437738.0
59727.3
Blue167
273327.7
7043.7
167865.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011405020025088167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#38
38.01.1
39.138.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End9.7
blue by 27.8
65.82.1
63.065.1
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
Second
4085
#20
35.41.1
36.535.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
blue by 8.3
70
#28
43.72.1
41.944.0
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Third
597
#67
27.31.1
28.427.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 0.4
2733
#29
27.72.1
25.627.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsEarned