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Red123
543134.3
525446.6
615333.4
Blue100
12332.4
561835.3
523226.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199450150200123100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#46
46.60.7
46.046.8
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
red by 11.3
5618
#15
35.30.3
35.635.3
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
5431
#16
34.30.7
33.534.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
red by 1.9
123
#18
32.40.3
32.732.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
Third
6153
#33
33.40.7
32.633.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
red by 7.2
5232
#56
26.20.3
26.526.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned