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Red109
155933.9
132343.0
492029.9
Blue128
299035.7
332431.0
23133.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11297406080120140160180109128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#25
43.00.2
42.542.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
red by 7.3
2990
#35
35.71.4
34.335.7
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Second
1559
#47
33.90.2
34.133.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
red by 0.2
231
#10
33.71.4
32.634.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Third
4920
#52
29.90.2
30.029.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
blue by 1.2
3324
#70
31.01.4
29.631.0
Auto10.1
Teleop18.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed45%Capture oddsMissed