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Qual 1252016 Hopper Division
Red117
589923.5
173231.9
591036.8
Blue143
243838.9
34645.3
168440.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8213250100150200117143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#31
36.81.7
35.1→36.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End5.5
blue by 8.5
346
#9
45.31.5
44.4→45.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
1732
#59
31.91.7
29.8→31.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 8.8
1684
#36
40.71.5
39.2→40.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
5899
#72
23.51.7
21.9→23.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 15.4
2438
#50
38.91.5
37.5→38.9
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned19%Capture oddsEarned