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Qual 132016 Hopper Division
Red123
388029.3
29447.6
492029.9
Blue98
509829.5
591036.8
173043.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103101909510511011512012398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
47.61.6
37.9→39.4
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 3.8
1730
#51
43.80.0
41.1→41.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Second
4920
#52
29.91.6
27.7→29.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
blue by 6.9
5910
#31
36.80.1
30.0→29.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End5.5
Third
3880
#34
29.31.6
34.1→35.7
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 0.2
5098
#37
29.50.0
27.6→27.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed