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Qual 142016 Hopper Division
Red114
584729.6
425633.0
167865.8
Blue137
516635.1
14867.1
543134.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125130050100150200250300350114137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#3
65.80.5
59.9→59.3
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
blue by 1.3
148
#1
67.10.4
63.4→63.9
Auto14.6
Teleop39.6
End12.9
Second
4256
#22
33.00.5
29.8→29.3
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
blue by 2.1
5166
#39
35.10.4
29.8→30.2
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
Third
5847
#73
29.60.5
32.4→31.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End5.5
blue by 4.6
5431
#16
34.30.4
32.6→33.0
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed