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Qual 162016 Hopper Division
Red69
583928.8
176932.3
301926.5
Blue116
421636.1
299035.7
561835.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311405010015020069116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#55
32.31.2
27.1→25.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 3.8
4216
#41
36.10.7
37.3→36.6
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
Second
5839
#58
28.81.1
31.5→30.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.3
blue by 6.9
2990
#35
35.70.7
34.5→33.8
Auto11.0
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Third
3019
#66
26.51.1
26.6→25.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
blue by 8.8
5618
#15
35.30.9
34.8→34.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed64%Capture oddsEarned