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Qual 172016 Hopper Division
Red101
168440.7
59727.3
580527.4
Blue110
23133.7
68639.1
30337.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82121050100150200101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#36
40.70.7
37.0→37.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
red by 1.6
686
#13
39.10.5
38.4→37.9
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
5805
#54
27.40.8
24.9→25.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1
blue by 10.0
303
#6
37.30.5
38.1→37.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Third
597
#67
27.30.7
23.8→24.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 6.4
231
#10
33.70.5
35.6→35.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsEarned