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Red109
554636.7
12332.4
341430.7
Blue88
179635.1
326034.9
437738.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951255015020010988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5546
#19
36.70.8
35.536.3
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
blue by 1.4
4377
#38
38.02.3
38.636.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End9.7
Second
123
#18
32.40.8
30.431.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.9
End5.6
blue by 2.7
1796
#27
35.12.3
40.338.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Third
3414
#61
30.70.8
31.131.9
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
blue by 4.2
3260
#65
34.92.3
37.935.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed