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Qual 192016 Hopper Division
Red82
589923.5
67024.5
7043.7
Blue99
155933.9
364614.7
509829.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102630501508299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#28
43.71.1
45.7→44.6
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
red by 9.8
1559
#47
33.91.8
31.3→33.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Second
670
#69
24.51.1
24.3→23.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End2.6
blue by 4.9
5098
#37
29.51.8
27.5→29.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Third
5899
#72
23.51.1
23.8→22.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.2
red by 8.9
3646
#74
14.72.4
8.2→10.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed