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Qual 212016 Hopper Division
Red102
424134.2
36439.0
19337.5
Blue83
201345.2
101137.3
454723.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115115859510010511012010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#42
39.00.7
39.0→38.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.5
End9.4
blue by 6.1
2013
#17
45.21.9
49.0→47.1
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Second
193
#45
37.50.7
39.6→38.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 0.2
1011
#43
37.31.9
39.4→37.5
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
Third
4241
#32
34.20.7
33.5→32.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
red by 11.1
4547
#68
23.11.9
23.5→21.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed44%Capture oddsMissed