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Qual 222016 Hopper Division
Red123
607016.2
86947.4
171232.2
Blue112
458748.6
388029.3
243838.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112250100150200123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#40
47.41.6
44.4→46.0
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
blue by 1.2
4587
#11
48.61.3
44.0→42.7
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
1712
#8
32.21.6
29.8→31.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
blue by 6.8
2438
#50
38.91.3
32.5→31.2
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
Third
6070
#64
16.21.7
10.5→12.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 13.1
3880
#34
29.31.3
35.7→34.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed