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Qual 232016 Hopper Division
Red118
615333.4
142546.0
332431.0
Blue162
34645.3
433458.2
247140.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97141050200250118162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#2
46.00.8
42.6→43.4
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End12.6
blue by 12.2
4334
#5
58.21.4
51.1→52.6
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
Second
6153
#33
33.40.8
31.5→32.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End6.0
blue by 11.9
346
#9
45.31.4
39.2→40.6
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Third
3324
#70
31.00.8
26.6→27.4
Auto10.1
Teleop18.0
End2.9
blue by 9.2
2471
#44
40.31.4
39.9→41.4
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
74%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsEarned