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Red85
599625.1
339723.0
121831.9
Blue194
97167.2
17238.6
173645.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6716005010020085194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#62
31.90.4
34.535.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
blue by 35.2
971
#4
67.22.4
60.462.9
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
5996
#24
25.10.6
19.920.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End3.9
blue by 20.6
1736
#12
45.72.4
44.947.4
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Third
3397
#75
23.00.4
24.024.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End3.2
blue by 15.6
172
#30
38.62.4
36.939.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed94%Capture oddsEarned