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Red95
591036.8
581134.1
77120.9
Blue120
153845.3
580128.2
525446.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821265010015020095120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#31
36.80.3
29.930.2
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End5.5
blue by 9.8
5254
#46
46.60.3
46.847.1
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
Second
5811
#48
34.10.2
36.536.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
blue by 11.2
1538
#21
45.30.3
44.644.8
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
Third
771
#49
20.90.2
20.020.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 7.3
5801
#57
28.20.3
24.725.0
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed