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Red106
364614.7
425633.0
408535.4
Blue125
68639.1
168440.7
29447.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65128050100150200106125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#20
35.41.9
32.534.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
blue by 12.2
294
#7
47.60.0
39.439.4
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
Second
4256
#22
33.01.9
29.331.2
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
blue by 7.6
1684
#36
40.70.0
37.737.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Third
3646
#74
14.72.3
10.612.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
blue by 24.4
686
#13
39.10.0
37.937.9
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsMissed